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Investing and Personal Finance

Yes, You Can Profit From Hurricanes

Posted by Edward Dy on June 8th, 2008

Tornado 1 - May 1st 08
Creative Commons License Photo Credit: chimothy27

With the increase in the number of projected hurricanes this year, investors can profit from them, if they purchase credit-default protection, according to Barclays Capital analysts.

There are markets for two years damage claims for property and casualty insurers for relatively light hurricane, the advisers said.

For this year, meteorologists have predicted a greater than average number of hurricanes as well as an increased probability that a storm of major magnitude will hit the United States. This is how investors can make a profit:

  • On the three insurers, purchase credit-default swaps
  • fund the trade. You can do this by selling contracts on certain insurers (they must have less exposure to the hazard although they’re in a region prone to storms) or you can get them sold on a benchmark index.

The contracts could easily yield 15 to 20 basis points increase, the analysts added.

Credit-default swaps are financial instruments. These instruments are based on bonds and loans that are utilized as speculative tools as regards a certain company’s ability to make good its debts. They were first and foremost designed to shield bondholders in case of default. In effect, these instruments pay the buyer at face value in return for the underlying securities in the event that the company should fail to comply with debt agreements.

It’s a great opportunity for investors to grab and take advantage of the credit markets’ volatility as the looming threat of storm activity increases. Remember that these are all based on predictions, but if a major storm does in fact happen, the contracts could go wider even more.

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